MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Dane Myers
334 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Dane Myers

CIN·CF
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.309) — BABIP 0.328 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Myers is a hold — league-average skill, and the average is soft.

His expected wOBA is .309, .006 under the league average of .315, and with 334 plate appearances he has cleared the sample threshold where that number can be trusted. The actual line reads .324, .015 above where his contact quality says it should sit, and the reason is his BABIP: .328 against a league average of .295, across 212 balls in play when the stat needs around 800 before it means anything. Expect some of that average to come back. The contact profile backs the modest read — 89.2 mph average exit velocity is right at league, and his 36.3% hard-hit rate and 4.7% barrel rate both sit under league. He does walk 11.1% of the time, well above average, and he chases less than most hitters. His expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample, so there is no growth story to buy into. This is a league-average bat, and the surface will drift toward it. Hold.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %4.7%—−2.9% ▼vs his ~7.6% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.309)
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.328 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.2 mph
89.2 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.2 mphvs his norm —
212 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %36.3%
36.3%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.7%vs his norm —
212 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.7%
normbelievable since Jun 44.7%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.3%vs his norm −2.9% ▼
212 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.309
.309*
lg avg .315 ▼−.006vs his norm —
334 / 160 PA
wOBA.324
.324*
lg avg .315 ▲+.009vs his norm —
334 / 200 PA
Strikeout %24.6%
24.6%*
lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.6%vs his norm —
334 / 60 PA
Walk %11.1%
11.1%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.6%vs his norm —
334 / 120 PA
BABIP.328
norm.328*
lg avg .295 ▲+.033vs his norm +.011 ▲BABIP is above his ~.317 norm — expect it to fall.
212 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.3%
9.3%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.7%vs his norm —
334 / 50 PA
Chase %25.2%
25.2%*
lg avg 28.5% ▼−3.3%vs his norm —
334 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.7%→6.1%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.7% (signal) lifted to career ~7.6% → projected 6.1%.
BABIP 0.328→0.298 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.328 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.287 (xBA 0.236) → 0.298.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (2 in 47 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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