week 11
this weekHOLD
last week—
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.07)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed40.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+0.5%vs his norm —
121 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.3%vs his norm —
121 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.350
lg avg .315 ▲+.035vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
166 / 200 TBF
xERA5.07
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.97vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
166 / 200 TBF
ERA5.40
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.30vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
38.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %16.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.7%vs his norm −0.8% ▼
166 / 70 TBF
Walk %10.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.8%vs his norm −1.1% ▼Walk % is below his ~11.9% norm — expect it to rise.
166 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.286
lg avg .295 ▼−.009vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
121 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 16.3%→16.7%signal67 K — K% 16.3% (signal) lifted to career ~17.1% → projected 16.7% over ~87 remaining IP.
xERA 5.07noise4.29 ERA — xERA 5.07 (noise) blended 19% skill / 81% league 4.10 at 41 IP.
BB% 10.8% + contactnoise1.35 WHIP — a 11% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.294 gives a 1.57 skill WHIP, blended 1…
run support + role4-9 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop67 K ROS, 4.29 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.