week 25
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
VS His Norm
- Walk %9.0%—−2.9% ▼vs his ~11.9% career norm
- Strikeout %17.2%—+0.1% ▲vs his ~17.1% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.18 +1.08 vs league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed38.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−1.7%vs his norm —
379 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed9.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —
379 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.347
lg avg .315 ▲+.032vs his norm —
522 / 200 TBF
xERA5.18
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.08vs his norm —
522 / 200 TBF
ERA5.43
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.33vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
116 / 200 IP
Strikeout %17.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−4.8%vs his norm +0.1% ▲
522 / 70 TBF
Walk %9.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.0%vs his norm −2.9% ▼
522 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.304
lg avg .295 ▲+.009vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
379 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %8.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−2.7%vs his norm —
522 / 60 TBF
Chase %27.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−1.4%vs his norm —
522 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo93.6 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−0.4 mphvs his norm —
1994 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 17.2%→17.2%signal9 K — K% 17.2% (signal) tempered to career ~17.1% → projected 17.2% over ~11 remaining IP.
xERA 5.18signal4.80 ERA — xERA 5.18 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 4.10 at 41 IP.
BB% 9.0% + contactsignal1.43 WHIP — a 9% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.299 gives a 1.49 skill WHIP, blended 65…
run support + role1-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop9 K ROS, 4.80 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.