MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Rhett Lowder
CIN · P
Change to
Shane Bieber
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Rhett Lowder wins 1 (ERA); Shane Bieber wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Rhett Lowder
93.7
Shane Bieber
92.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Rhett Lowder
8.4%
Shane Bieber
10.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Rhett Lowder
17.4%
Shane Bieber
18.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Rhett Lowder
26.7%
Shane Bieber
29.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Rhett Lowder
39.0%
Shane Bieber
46.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Rhett Lowder
9.8%
Shane Bieber
10.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Rhett Lowder
.355
Shane Bieber
.368
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Rhett Lowder
4.616.40
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.01
5.01
Shane Bieber
4.616.40
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
5.33
WHIPlower is better
Rhett Lowder
1.172.24
now 1.45
1.45
Shane Bieber
1.172.24
now 2.00
1.41

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Rhett Lowder
4043.40
now 31
0
Shane Bieber
4043.40
now 6
0
Winshigher is better
Rhett Lowder
.0004.20
now 3
0–0
Shane Bieber
.0004.20
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellRhett Lowder — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighShane Bieber — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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