MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Nick Lodolo
Nick Lodolo
CIN · P
Change to
Shane Bieber
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Shane Bieber.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Nick Lodolo’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Shane Bieber wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Nick Lodolo wins 0 (none); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Nick Lodolo
93.8
Shane Bieber
92.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Nick Lodolo
9.7%
Shane Bieber
10.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Nick Lodolo
17.1%
Shane Bieber
18.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Nick Lodolo
28.6%
Shane Bieber
29.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Nick Lodolo
40.3%
Shane Bieber
46.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Nick Lodolo
8.8%
Shane Bieber
10.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Nick Lodolo
.380
Shane Bieber
.368
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Nick Lodolo
4.886.32
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.20
5.64
Shane Bieber
4.886.32
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
5.33
WHIPlower is better
Nick Lodolo
1.122.25
now 1.37
1.43
Shane Bieber
1.122.25
now 2.00
1.41

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Nick Lodolo
4030.80
now 22
0
Shane Bieber
4030.80
now 6
0
Winshigher is better
Nick Lodolo
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Shane Bieber
.0002.80
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellNick Lodolo — sell.conf 0.90
Sell HighShane Bieber — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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