Who's more valuable, rest of season
Shane Bieber.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Merrill Kelly’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a
Shane Bieber wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Merrill Kelly wins 0 (none); 2 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Merrill Kelly
92.1
Shane Bieber
92.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Merrill Kelly
10.7%
Shane Bieber
10.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Merrill Kelly
16.1%
Shane Bieber
18.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Merrill Kelly
35.1%
Shane Bieber
29.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Merrill Kelly
41.5%
Shane Bieber
46.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Merrill Kelly
11.0%
Shane Bieber
10.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Merrill Kelly
.377
Shane Bieber
.368
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Merrill Kelly
4.686.38
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.06
5.56
Shane Bieber
4.686.38
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
5.33
WHIPlower is better
Merrill Kelly
1.172.24
now 1.46
1.43
Shane Bieber
1.172.24
now 2.00
1.41
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Merrill Kelly
4046.20
now 33
0
Shane Bieber
4046.20
now 6
0
Winshigher is better
Merrill Kelly
.0007
now 5
0–0
Shane Bieber
.0007
now 0
0–0
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellMerrill Kelly — sell.conf 0.90
Sell HighShane Bieber — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95