Rest of Season Projection
JackCategoryMerrill
68K →77
4.81ERA ←6.17
1.51WHIP →1.45
2–4W →6–13
0SV0
Current Season
JackCategoryMerrill
46K ←33
5.23ERA →5.06
1.48WHIP →1.46
2W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jack Kochanowicz
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.19 +1.09 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Merrill Kelly
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 7.28 +3.18 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jack Kochanowicz: 68 K / 4.81 ERA. Merrill Kelly: 77 K / 6.17 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).