Who's more valuable, rest of season
Nick Lodolo.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Merrill Kelly’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
◀
W
SV n/a
Nick Lodolo wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Merrill Kelly wins 1 (W); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Merrill Kelly
92.1
Nick Lodolo
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Merrill Kelly
10.5%
Nick Lodolo
9.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Merrill Kelly
15.4%
Nick Lodolo
17.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Merrill Kelly
34.1%
Nick Lodolo
29.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Merrill Kelly
44.2%
Nick Lodolo
38.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Merrill Kelly
12.7%
Nick Lodolo
7.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Merrill Kelly
.393
Nick Lodolo
.373
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Merrill Kelly
4.706.31
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.06
5.95
Nick Lodolo
4.706.31
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.20
5.41
WHIPlower is better
Merrill Kelly
1.301.53
now 1.46
1.44
Nick Lodolo
1.301.53
now 1.37
1.43
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Merrill Kelly
4038.60
now 33
26
Nick Lodolo
4038.60
now 22
32
Winshigher is better
Merrill Kelly
.8006.20
now 5
2–5
Nick Lodolo
.8006.20
now 2
2–3
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellMerrill Kelly — sell.conf 0.90
SellNick Lodolo — sell.conf 0.90