MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Merrill Kelly
Merrill Kelly
AZ · P
Change to
Portrait of Nick Lodolo
Nick Lodolo
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Merrill Kelly.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Merrill Kelly wins 1 categories (ERA); Nick Lodolo wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Merrill Kelly
92.1
Nick Lodolo
93.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Merrill Kelly
10.7%
Nick Lodolo
9.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Merrill Kelly
16.1%
Nick Lodolo
17.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Merrill Kelly
35.1%
Nick Lodolo
28.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Merrill Kelly
41.5%
Nick Lodolo
40.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Merrill Kelly
11.0%
Nick Lodolo
8.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Merrill Kelly
.377
Nick Lodolo
.380
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Merrill Kelly
4.835.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.06
5.56
Nick Lodolo
4.835.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.20
5.64
WHIPlower is better
Merrill Kelly
1.301.53
now 1.46
1.43
Nick Lodolo
1.301.53
now 1.37
1.43

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Merrill Kelly
4046.20
now 33
0
Nick Lodolo
4046.20
now 22
0
Winshigher is better
Merrill Kelly
.0007
now 5
0–0
Nick Lodolo
.0007
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellMerrill Kelly — sell.conf 0.90
SellNick Lodolo — sell.conf 0.90
Tweet