MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 7, 2026
Portrait of Grayson Rodriguez
Grayson Rodriguez
LAA · P
Change to
Portrait of Nick Lodolo
Nick Lodolo
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Grayson Rodriguez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and wins. Nick Lodolo’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Grayson Rodriguez wins 2 categories (K, W); Nick Lodolo wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Grayson Rodriguez
96.2
Nick Lodolo
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Grayson Rodriguez
10.9%
Nick Lodolo
9.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Grayson Rodriguez
17.9%
Nick Lodolo
17.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Grayson Rodriguez
26.3%
Nick Lodolo
29.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Grayson Rodriguez
49.7%
Nick Lodolo
38.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Grayson Rodriguez
11.5%
Nick Lodolo
7.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Grayson Rodriguez
.399
Nick Lodolo
.373
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Grayson Rodriguez
4.278.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.53
6.12
Nick Lodolo
4.278.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.20
5.41
WHIPlower is better
Grayson Rodriguez
1.251.79
now 1.67
1.43
Nick Lodolo
1.251.79
now 1.37
1.43

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Grayson Rodriguez
4046.20
now 14
37
Nick Lodolo
4046.20
now 22
33
Winshigher is better
Grayson Rodriguez
.4007.60
now 2
36
Nick Lodolo
.4007.60
now 2
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellGrayson Rodriguez — sell.conf 0.90
SellNick Lodolo — sell.conf 0.90
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