MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 24, 2026
Portrait of Merrill Kelly
Merrill Kelly
AZ · P
Change to
Rhett Lowder
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Merrill Kelly.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Merrill Kelly wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, W); Rhett Lowder wins 1 (ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Merrill Kelly
92.2
Rhett Lowder
93.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Merrill Kelly
10.2%
Rhett Lowder
9.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Merrill Kelly
14.4%
Rhett Lowder
18.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Merrill Kelly
34.3%
Rhett Lowder
26.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Merrill Kelly
45.0%
Rhett Lowder
39.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Merrill Kelly
13.5%
Rhett Lowder
8.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Merrill Kelly
.400
Rhett Lowder
.360
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Merrill Kelly
4.556.62
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.06
6.16
Rhett Lowder
4.556.62
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.01
5.10
WHIPlower is better
Merrill Kelly
1.361.54
now 1.46
1.43
Rhett Lowder
1.361.54
now 1.45
1.47

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Merrill Kelly
4042.60
now 33
37
Rhett Lowder
4042.60
now 31
34
Winshigher is better
Merrill Kelly
.0009
now 5
37
Rhett Lowder
.0009
now 3
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellMerrill Kelly — sell.conf 0.90
SellRhett Lowder — sell.conf 0.90
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