MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 11, 2026
JR Ritchie
ATL · P
Change to
Rhett Lowder
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

JR Ritchie wins 2 (K, ERA); Rhett Lowder wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
JR Ritchie
94.5
Rhett Lowder
93.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
JR Ritchie
9.8%
Rhett Lowder
8.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
JR Ritchie
21.0%
Rhett Lowder
18.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
JR Ritchie
26.5%
Rhett Lowder
26.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
JR Ritchie
38.9%
Rhett Lowder
39.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
JR Ritchie
7.9%
Rhett Lowder
9.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
JR Ritchie
.337
Rhett Lowder
.359
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
JR Ritchie
4.345.27
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.56
4.56
Rhett Lowder
4.345.27
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.01
5.05
WHIPlower is better
JR Ritchie
1.371.57
now 1.44
1.50
Rhett Lowder
1.371.57
now 1.45
1.45

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
JR Ritchie
4053.20
now 21
44
Rhett Lowder
4053.20
now 31
41
Winshigher is better
JR Ritchie
.0008
now 1
13
Rhett Lowder
.0008
now 3
36

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellJR Ritchie — sell.conf 0.76
SellRhett Lowder — sell.conf 0.90
Tweet