Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryGeorge
20HR ←12
70R ←31
70RBI ←27
3SB →6
.270AVG ←.223
Current Season
BenCategoryGeorge
17HR ←5
44R ←16
44RBI ←14
2SB →3
.306AVG ←.212
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
George Springer
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.301)
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. George Springer: 12 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).