Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryJoc
8HR →11
34R →40
34RBI ←33
0SB0
.300AVG ←.233
Current Season
AndrewCategoryJoc
1HR →8
10R →23
10RBI →19
0SB0
.354AVG ←.240
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.365 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.333 is 0.050 below the surface — regression coming
Joc Pederson
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.351, +0.036 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Andrew Vaughn: 8 HR / 34 R. Joc Pederson: 11 HR / 40 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).