MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Joc Pederson
Joc Pederson
TEX · DH
Change to
Portrait of Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEA · 1B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Joc Pederson wins 2 (HR, R); Josh Naylor wins 2 (SB, AVG); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Joc Pederson
92.0
Josh Naylor
87.0
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Joc Pederson
50.6%
Josh Naylor
35.2%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Joc Pederson
11.2%
Josh Naylor
4.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Joc Pederson
29.9%
Josh Naylor
38.1%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Joc Pederson
14.0%
Josh Naylor
9.1%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Joc Pederson
.342
Josh Naylor
.313
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Joc Pederson
.200.280
lg AVG .295
now .240
.206
Josh Naylor
.200.280
lg AVG .295
now .254
.257

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Joc Pederson
511.20
now 8
1
Josh Naylor
511.20
now 6
0
Runshigher is better
Joc Pederson
2031
now 23
5
Josh Naylor
2031
now 21
3
RBIhigher is better
Joc Pederson
2033.40
now 19
4
Josh Naylor
2033.40
now 25
4
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Joc Pederson
.00016.80
now 0
0
Josh Naylor
.00016.80
now 12
2
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyJoc Pederson — buy.conf 0.65
Hold · steadyJosh Naylor — hold.conf 0.60
Tweet