Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryIván
9HR →12
36R →52
36RBI →40
0SB →3
.314AVG ←.263
Current Season
AndrewCategoryIván
1HR →7
10R →35
10RBI →27
0SB →2
.354AVG ←.260
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.393 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.347 is 0.066 below the surface — regression coming
Iván Herrera
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.366, +0.051 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Andrew Vaughn: 9 HR / 36 R. Iván Herrera: 12 HR / 52 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).