262 PA · week 10
this weekBUY
last weekBUY
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Iván Herrera
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Herrera is a buy — elite contact, steady gains.
His xwOBA is .366, .051 above league average, and he has enough plate appearances for that number to be reliable. His actual wOBA tracks right with it, so there is no luck inflating the line. His hard-hit rate has stepped up across the season, now at 43.0%, three points above league. His exit velocity is also above league. The contact quality signal is already stable at 172 batted balls — well past the 50-BBE threshold. His barrel rate is just below league but the hard-hit rate says the contact is there. He walks and strikes out at above- and below-league rates, respectively, which only helps the floor. The trajectory is up, the skill is real, and nothing is borrowed from luck. Buy.
Buy
med0.70
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.366, +0.051 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.8 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.8 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL172 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %43.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+3.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL172 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL172 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.366
lg avg .315 ▲+.051trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL262 / 160 PA
wOBA.360
lg avg .315 ▲+.045trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL262 / 200 PA
Strikeout %17.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−4.8%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL262 / 60 PA
Walk %13.0%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+4.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL262 / 120 PA
BABIP.297
lg avg .295 ▲+.002too early to trust
NOISE172 / 800 BIP