Rest of Season Projection
IvánCategoryRafael
12HR →15
51R ←39
39RBI →45
3SB ←0
.262AVG ←.228
Current Season
IvánCategoryRafael
7HR7
35R ←26
27RBI →30
2SB ←0
.260AVG ←.251
What Each Player's System Trusts
Iván Herrera
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.364, +0.049 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Rafael Devers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.290 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Iván Herrera: 12 HR / 51 R. Rafael Devers: 15 HR / 39 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).