Who's more valuable, rest of season
Dominic Smith.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, RBI, and average. Rafael Devers’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
HR
▶
◀
R
◀
RBI
SB
◀
AVG
Dominic Smith wins 3 categories (R, RBI, AVG); Rafael Devers wins 1 (HR); 1 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgAvg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Dominic Smith
87.7
Rafael Devers
91.8
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Dominic Smith
34.9%
Rafael Devers
50.2%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Dominic Smith
7.2%
Rafael Devers
9.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Dominic Smith
33.7%
Rafael Devers
29.8%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Dominic Smith
10.6%
Rafael Devers
14.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Dominic Smith
.332
Rafael Devers
.301
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Dominic Smith
.200.360
lg AVG .295
now .325
.263
Rafael Devers
.200.360
lg AVG .295
now .251
.227
Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Dominic Smith
513.40
now 5
5
Rafael Devers
513.40
now 7
11
Runshigher is better
Dominic Smith
2039.20
now 21
34
Rafael Devers
2039.20
now 26
29
RBIhigher is better
Dominic Smith
2047.40
now 25
41
Rafael Devers
2047.40
now 30
33
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Dominic Smith
.0001.20
now 0
0
Rafael Devers
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyDominic Smith — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans sellRafael Devers — hold.conf 0.60