Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryRafael
9HR →14
35R →37
45RBI ←43
2SB ←0
.240AVG ←.227
Current Season
AndrewCategoryRafael
5HR →7
21R →26
27RBI →30
1SB ←0
.238AVG →.251
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Benintendi
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.325)
Rafael Devers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.285 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Andrew Benintendi: 9 HR / 35 R. Rafael Devers: 14 HR / 37 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).