Who's more valuable, rest of season
Taylor Ward.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs and average. Rafael Devers’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
HR
R
▶
◀
RBI
SB
AVG
▶
Taylor Ward wins 2 categories (R, AVG); Rafael Devers wins 1 (RBI); 2 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgAvg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Rafael Devers
93.0
Taylor Ward
88.8
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Rafael Devers
51.6%
Taylor Ward
38.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Rafael Devers
12.4%
Taylor Ward
5.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Rafael Devers
29.9%
Taylor Ward
15.1%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Rafael Devers
13.8%
Taylor Ward
6.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Rafael Devers
.341
Taylor Ward
.333
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Rafael Devers
.210.260
lg AVG .295
now .251
.223
Taylor Ward
.210.260
lg AVG .295
now .248
.230
Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Rafael Devers
59.40
now 7
1
Taylor Ward
59.40
now 2
1
Runshigher is better
Rafael Devers
2048.40
now 26
5
Taylor Ward
2048.40
now 36
6
RBIhigher is better
Rafael Devers
2040.80
now 30
5
Taylor Ward
2040.80
now 17
3
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Rafael Devers
.0003.20
now 0
0
Taylor Ward
.0003.20
now 2
0
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyRafael Devers — buy.conf 0.65
Hold · leans buyTaylor Ward — hold.conf 0.60

