Rest of Season Projection
CurtisCategoryRafael
7HR →15
51R ←40
51RBI ←47
6SB ←0
.228AVG →.230
Current Season
CurtisCategoryRafael
8HR ←7
26R26
26RBI →30
3SB ←0
.250AVG.251
What Each Player's System Trusts
Curtis Mead
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.367, +0.052 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Rafael Devers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.291 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Curtis Mead: 7 HR / 51 R. Rafael Devers: 15 HR / 40 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).