Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryCurtis
9HR ←7
36R →51
36RBI →51
0SB →6
.314AVG ←.228
Current Season
AndrewCategoryCurtis
1HR →8
10R →26
10RBI →26
0SB →3
.354AVG ←.250
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.393 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.347 is 0.066 below the surface — regression coming
Curtis Mead
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.367, +0.052 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Vaughn leads Mead 9 HR to 7 HR and .314 AVG to .228 AVG, but the sell-high and buy verdicts flip the narrative.