160 PA · week 10
this weekBUY
last weekHOLD
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Curtis Mead
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Mead is a buy — elite contact, steady growth.
His hard-hit rate is 45.9% and climbing — well above the 40.0% league average, and already stable at 109 batted balls. That elite contact drives his expected wOBA to .376, .061 above league. He strikes out just 16.9% of the time and walks 13.8%, both sharp. His actual wOBA tracks his xwOBA, so there's no luck propping the line up. The bat is real, and he's still getting better. Buy.
Buy
med0.72
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.376, +0.061 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.6 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.6 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL109 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %45.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+5.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL109 / 50 BBE
Barrel %11.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL109 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.376
lg avg .315 ▲+.061trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL160 / 160 PA
wOBA.377
lg avg .315 ▲+.062too early to trust
NOISE160 / 200 PA
Strikeout %16.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.1%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL160 / 60 PA
Walk %13.8%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+5.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL160 / 120 PA
BABIP.257
lg avg .295 ▼−.038too early to trust
NOISE109 / 800 BIP