Who's more valuable, rest of season
Curtis Mead.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, RBI, steals, and average. Austin Riley’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
HR
R
▶
RBI
▶
SB
▶
AVG
▶
Curtis Mead wins 4 categories (R, RBI, SB, AVG); Austin Riley wins 1 (HR).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgAvg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Austin Riley
90.9
Curtis Mead
88.3
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Austin Riley
44.7%
Curtis Mead
42.5%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Austin Riley
10.1%
Curtis Mead
11.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Austin Riley
32.5%
Curtis Mead
25.7%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Austin Riley
15.2%
Curtis Mead
7.1%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Austin Riley
.298
Curtis Mead
.361
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Austin Riley
.200.270
lg AVG .295
now .209
.209
Curtis Mead
.200.270
lg AVG .295
now .250
.221
Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Austin Riley
512
now 8
10
Curtis Mead
512
now 8
5
Runshigher is better
Austin Riley
21.6041.40
now 30
32
Curtis Mead
21.6041.40
now 26
37
RBIhigher is better
Austin Riley
21.6041.40
now 32
34
Curtis Mead
21.6041.40
now 26
37
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Austin Riley
1.805.20
now 3
3
Curtis Mead
1.805.20
now 3
4
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAustin Riley — sell.conf 0.58
BuyCurtis Mead — buy.conf 0.69