MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATL · 3B
Change to
Portrait of Curtis Mead
Curtis Mead
BOS · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Curtis Mead.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs and average. Austin Riley’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Curtis Mead wins 2 categories (R, AVG); Austin Riley wins 0 (none); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Austin Riley
91.5
Curtis Mead
88.0
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Austin Riley
45.2%
Curtis Mead
42.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Austin Riley
12.3%
Curtis Mead
10.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Austin Riley
32.6%
Curtis Mead
25.1%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Austin Riley
15.8%
Curtis Mead
7.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Austin Riley
.299
Curtis Mead
.358
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Austin Riley
.200.270
lg AVG .295
now .209
.210
Curtis Mead
.200.270
lg AVG .295
now .250
.222

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Austin Riley
510.80
now 8
1
Curtis Mead
510.80
now 8
1
Runshigher is better
Austin Riley
2040
now 30
5
Curtis Mead
2040
now 26
6
RBIhigher is better
Austin Riley
2042.40
now 32
6
Curtis Mead
2042.40
now 26
6
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Austin Riley
.0004.20
now 3
1
Curtis Mead
.0004.20
now 3
1
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAustin Riley — sell.conf 0.58
BuyCurtis Mead — buy.conf 0.69
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