MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATL · 3B
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Portrait of David Hamilton
David Hamilton
MIL · 3B
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Who's more valuable, rest of season

David Hamilton.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, steals, and average. Austin Riley’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

David Hamilton wins 3 categories (R, SB, AVG); Austin Riley wins 2 (HR, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Austin Riley
91.4
David Hamilton
87.0
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Austin Riley
44.9%
David Hamilton
28.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Austin Riley
12.2%
David Hamilton
3.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Austin Riley
32.6%
David Hamilton
29.4%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Austin Riley
15.8%
David Hamilton
9.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Austin Riley
.298
David Hamilton
.276
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Austin Riley
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .209
.208
David Hamilton
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .239
.228

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Austin Riley
511.20
now 8
1
David Hamilton
511.20
now 1
0
Runshigher is better
Austin Riley
2040
now 30
5
David Hamilton
2040
now 25
6
RBIhigher is better
Austin Riley
2044
now 32
5
David Hamilton
2044
now 9
2
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Austin Riley
.00018.20
now 3
0
David Hamilton
.00018.20
now 13
3
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAustin Riley — sell.conf 0.58
SellDavid Hamilton — sell.conf 0.63
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