Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryChristian
9HR ←8
36R →53
36RBI →45
0SB →8
.314AVG ←.210
Current Season
AndrewCategoryChristian
1HR →4
10R →21
10RBI →18
0SB →3
.354AVG ←.275
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.393 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.347 is 0.066 below the surface — regression coming
Christian Yelich
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.389 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.292 is 0.064 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Andrew Vaughn: 9 HR / 36 R. Christian Yelich: 8 HR / 53 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).