Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryGiancarlo
7HR →14
32R ←21
32RBI →37
0SB →3
.311AVG ←.257
Current Season
AndrewCategoryGiancarlo
1HR →3
10R ←8
10RBI →14
0SB →1
.354AVG ←.256
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.400 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.345 is 0.083 below the surface — regression coming
Giancarlo Stanton
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.326)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.345 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Andrew Vaughn: 7 HR / .311 AVG vs Giancarlo Stanton: 14 HR / .257 AVG — power trails but average leads; sell-high call on Vaughn contrasts hold on Stanton.