Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryFreddie
9HR →15
36R →44
36RBI →46
0SB →3
.314AVG ←.276
Current Season
AndrewCategoryFreddie
1HR →8
10R →29
10RBI →30
0SB →2
.354AVG ←.266
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.393 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.347 is 0.066 below the surface — regression coming
Freddie Freeman
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.376, +0.061 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Andrew Vaughn: 9 HR / 36 R. Freddie Freeman: 15 HR / 44 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).