Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryChristian
9HR →18
36R →56
36RBI →67
0SB0
.314AVG ←.227
Current Season
AndrewCategoryChristian
1HR →16
10R →36
10RBI →43
0SB0
.354AVG ←.249
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.393 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.347 is 0.066 below the surface — regression coming
Christian Walker
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.332, +0.017 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Andrew Vaughn: 9 HR / 36 R. Christian Walker: 18 HR / 56 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).