Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryBryce
9HR →18
36R →53
36RBI →53
0SB →6
.314AVG ←.270
Current Season
AndrewCategoryBryce
1HR →13
10R →34
10RBI →34
0SB →4
.354AVG ←.261
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.393 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.347 is 0.066 below the surface — regression coming
Bryce Harper
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.268 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Andrew Vaughn: 9 HR / 36 R. Bryce Harper: 18 HR / 53 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).