Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategoryChristian
17HR ←8
52R52
52RBI ←45
6SB →7
.269AVG ←.212
Current Season
BryceCategoryChristian
13HR ←4
34R ←21
34RBI ←18
4SB ←3
.261AVG →.275
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Harper
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.265 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Christian Yelich
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.392 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.289 is 0.065 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Bryce Harper: 17 HR / 52 R. Christian Yelich: 8 HR / 52 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).