96 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Giancarlo Stanton
data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
ON THE 60-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 30% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.326); BABIP 0.345 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Stanton is a hold — the power plays, the whiffs and luck do not.
ROS projects HR 3 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .256 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %18.0%—−1.2% ▼vs his ~19.2% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.326)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.345 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo94.1 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+5.1 mphvs his norm —
61 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %44.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+4.3%vs his norm —
61 / 50 BBE
Barrel %18.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+10.0%vs his norm −1.2% ▼
61 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.326
lg avg .315 ▲+.011vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
96 / 160 PA
wOBA.316
lg avg .315 ▲+.001vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
96 / 200 PA
Strikeout %30.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+8.2%vs his norm —
96 / 60 PA
Walk %6.3%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.2%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
96 / 120 PA
BABIP.345
lg avg .295 ▲+.050vs his norm +.078 ▲BABIP is above his ~.267 norm — expect it to fall.
61 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %17.4%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+6.5%vs his norm —
96 / 50 PA
Chase %30.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.8%vs his norm —
96 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 18.0%→18.9%signal0 HR — Barrel% 18.0% (signal) lifted to career ~19.2% → projected 18.9%.
BABIP 0.345→0.321 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.345 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.318 (xBA 0.245) → 0.321.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 24 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.