Rest of Season Projection
JorgeCategoryRafael
14HR →15
42R ←40
51RBI ←47
0SB0
.213AVG →.230
Current Season
JorgeCategoryRafael
9HR ←7
27R ←26
33RBI ←30
0SB0
.221AVG →.251
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jorge Soler
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.307)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Rafael Devers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.291 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jorge Soler: 14 HR / 42 R. Rafael Devers: 15 HR / 40 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).