Rest of Season Projection
IldemaroCategoryRafael
3HR →13
43R ←34
53RBI ←39
1SB ←0
.261AVG ←.221
Current Season
IldemaroCategoryRafael
7HR7
30R ←26
37RBI ←30
1SB ←0
.291AVG ←.251
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ildemaro Vargas
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.309)
Rafael Devers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.289 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ildemaro Vargas: 3 HR / 43 R. Rafael Devers: 13 HR / 34 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).