Rest of Season Projection
GiancarloCategoryRafael
14HR ←13
21R →34
37RBI →39
3SB ←0
.257AVG ←.223
Current Season
GiancarloCategoryRafael
3HR →7
8R →26
14RBI →30
1SB ←0
.256AVG ←.251
What Each Player's System Trusts
Giancarlo Stanton
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.326)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.345 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Rafael Devers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.292 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Giancarlo Stanton: 14 HR / 22 R. Rafael Devers: 13 HR / 35 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).