MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Giancarlo Stanton
NYY · DH
Change to
Portrait of Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers
SF · 1B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Giancarlo Stanton.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — steals and average. Rafael Devers’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Giancarlo Stanton wins 2 categories (SB, AVG); Rafael Devers wins 1 (R); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Giancarlo Stanton
94.1
Rafael Devers
92.3
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Giancarlo Stanton
44.3%
Rafael Devers
50.7%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Giancarlo Stanton
18.0%
Rafael Devers
11.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Giancarlo Stanton
30.3%
Rafael Devers
29.5%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Giancarlo Stanton
17.4%
Rafael Devers
14.6%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Giancarlo Stanton
.326
Rafael Devers
.325
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Giancarlo Stanton
.210.270
lg AVG .295
now .256
.244
Rafael Devers
.210.270
lg AVG .295
now .251
.226

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Giancarlo Stanton
58.60
now 3
5
Rafael Devers
58.60
now 7
5
Runshigher is better
Giancarlo Stanton
2033.20
now 8
11
Rafael Devers
2033.20
now 26
17
RBIhigher is better
Giancarlo Stanton
2036.40
now 14
20
Rafael Devers
2036.40
now 30
20
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Giancarlo Stanton
.0002.20
now 1
1
Rafael Devers
.0002.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeGiancarlo Stanton — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · leans buyRafael Devers — hold.conf 0.60
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