Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryDominic
9HR9
36R →46
36RBI →55
0SB0
.314AVG ←.297
Current Season
AndrewCategoryDominic
1HR →5
10R →21
10RBI →25
0SB0
.354AVG ←.325
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.393 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.347 is 0.066 below the surface — regression coming
Dominic Smith
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.362)
Andrew Vaughn: 9 HR / 36 R. Dominic Smith: 9 HR / 46 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).