Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryNathaniel
8HR →9
34R ←32
34RBI →50
0SB0
.298AVG ←.238
Current Season
AndrewCategoryNathaniel
1HR →9
10R →16
10RBI →25
0SB0
.354AVG ←.258
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.364 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.332 is 0.043 below the surface — regression coming
Nathaniel Lowe
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.377)
Andrew Vaughn: 8 HR / 34 R. Nathaniel Lowe: 9 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).