MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of Joc Pederson
Joc Pederson
TEX · DH
Change to
Portrait of Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
CIN · DH
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Joc Pederson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs and runs. Nathaniel Lowe’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Joc Pederson wins 2 categories (HR, R); Nathaniel Lowe wins 1 (RBI); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Joc Pederson
91.9
Nathaniel Lowe
89.0
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Joc Pederson
49.2%
Nathaniel Lowe
40.7%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Joc Pederson
11.5%
Nathaniel Lowe
10.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Joc Pederson
28.8%
Nathaniel Lowe
27.1%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Joc Pederson
13.5%
Nathaniel Lowe
9.9%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Joc Pederson
.355
Nathaniel Lowe
.352
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Joc Pederson
.210.270
lg AVG .295
now .240
.227
Nathaniel Lowe
.210.270
lg AVG .295
now .258
.227

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Joc Pederson
511.40
now 8
5
Nathaniel Lowe
511.40
now 9
3
Runshigher is better
Joc Pederson
2026.20
now 23
21
Nathaniel Lowe
2026.20
now 16
18
RBIhigher is better
Joc Pederson
2032
now 19
18
Nathaniel Lowe
2032
now 25
28
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Joc Pederson
.0001.20
now 0
0
Nathaniel Lowe
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyJoc Pederson — buy.conf 0.68
BuyNathaniel Lowe — buy.conf 0.67
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