Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryBrent
8HR →15
35R ←28
35RBI →48
0SB →4
.302AVG ←.197
Current Season
AndrewCategoryBrent
1HR →8
10R →15
10RBI →26
0SB →2
.354AVG ←.194
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.355 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.337 is 0.040 below the surface — regression coming
Brent Rooker
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.238 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Andrew Vaughn: 8 HR / 35 R. Brent Rooker: 15 HR / 28 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).