MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Engraved portrait of Brent Rooker
203 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Brent Rooker

ATH·DH
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
ON THE 60-DAY IL
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.314); strikeout rate 32% is stable and high, caps the floor; hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSHR 6AVG .186R 16RBI 27SB 2

Rooker is a hold — average skill, no luck to exploit.

His expected wOBA is .314, essentially league average, and his sample of 203 PA is past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .292, 22 points lower, but there is no skill case to chase: the contact metrics are near league average (89.9 mph exit velo, 41.9% hard-hit, 15.4% barrel — all close to or mildly above league, but not enough to push xwOBA clear of the mean). The downside driver is the strikeout rate: 32.0% and trending up — well above the 22.0% league average. That caps his batting average and puts a floor on how high his wOBA can climb even if BABIP luck turns. His walk rate and chase rate are near league average. Neither the surface nor the skill suggests a buy signal; neither is low enough to sell. This is a league-average player playing at his level. Hold. 6 HR, 16 R, 27 RBI, 2 SB, .186 AVG — a drop-tier bat; streaming-only in deep formats.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %15.4%—+0.3% ▲vs his ~15.1% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.314)
  • k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.9 mph
89.9 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.9 mphvs his norm —
117 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %41.9%
41.9%*
lg avg 40.0% ▲+1.9%vs his norm —
117 / 50 BBE
Barrel %15.4%
norm15.4%*
lg avg 8.0% ▲+7.4%vs his norm +0.3% ▲
117 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.314
.314*
lg avg .315 ▼−.001vs his norm —
203 / 160 PA
wOBA.292
.292*
lg avg .315 ▼−.023vs his norm —
203 / 200 PA
Strikeout %32.0%
32.0%*
lg avg 22.0% ▲+10.0%vs his norm —
203 / 60 PA
Walk %9.4%
9.4%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.9%vs his norm —
203 / 120 PA
BABIP.243
norm.243*
lg avg .295 ▼−.052vs his norm −.082 ▼BABIP is below his ~.325 norm — expect it to rise.
117 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %19.1%
19.1%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+8.1%vs his norm —
203 / 50 PA
Chase %31.0%
31.0%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.5%vs his norm —
203 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 15.4%→15.2%signal6 HR — Barrel% 15.4% (signal) tempered to career ~15.1% → projected 15.2%.
BABIP 0.243→0.246 regressednoise.186 AVG — BABIP 0.243 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.247 (xBA 0.207) → 0.246.
on-base + lineup16 R — his run rate over ~182 projected PA.
slugging + lineup27 RBI — his RBI rate over ~182 projected PA.
run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (2 in 41 G) over ~182 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups