Rest of Season Projection
BrentCategoryTy
15HR ←9
28R →30
49RBI ←45
4SB ←2
.192AVG →.244
Current Season
BrentCategoryTy
8HR ←6
15R ←12
26RBI ←18
2SB ←1
.194AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brent Rooker
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.310)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ty France
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.324 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.335 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Brent Rooker: 15 HR / 28 R. Ty France: 9 HR / 30 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).