Rest of Season Projection
TyCategoryVinnie
9HR →11
30R →32
45RBI ←40
2SB →3
.244AVG ←.231
Current Season
TyCategoryVinnie
6HR ←5
12R →21
18RBI →26
1SB →2
.286AVG ←.213
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ty France
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.324 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.335 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Vinnie Pasquantino
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.309)
Ty France: 9 HR / 30 R. Vinnie Pasquantino: 11 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).