MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Vinnie Pasquantino
424 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Vinnie Pasquantino

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.329); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60
ROSHR 1AVG .230R 4RBI 5SB 0

Pasquantino is a hold — steady, league-average, nothing driving either way.

His expected wOBA is .329, which is .014 above the league average of .315, and he has 424 plate appearances — well past the point where that number becomes reliable. This is not a case of a hot surface line inflated by luck: his actual wOBA is .317, tracking almost exactly with his expected wOBA, so there is nothing unstable to sell. His BABIP isn't driving the gap in either direction. His contact quality is right at league average — 89.7 mph exit velocity against league 89.0, a 41.2% hard-hit rate against league 40.0%, and 8.1% barrels against league 8.0%. If anything, his xwOBA has been stepping up across the sample, which is a mild positive, but not enough to call this a buy. The discipline numbers round out the picture: a well-below-league strikeout rate and an above-league walk rate give him a safe floor without any spike. Hold.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %8.1%−0.7%vs his ~8.8% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.329)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.7 mph
89.7 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph +0.7 mphvs his norm —
308 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %41.2%
41.2%*
lg avg 40.0% +1.2%vs his norm —
308 / 50 BBE
Barrel %8.1%
norm8.1%*
lg avg 8.0% +0.1%vs his norm −0.7%
308 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.329
.329*
lg avg .315 +.014vs his norm —
424 / 160 PA
wOBA.317
.317*
lg avg .315 +.002vs his norm —
424 / 200 PA
Strikeout %15.3%
15.3%*
lg avg 22.0% −6.7%vs his norm —
424 / 60 PA
Walk %11.3%
11.3%*
lg avg 8.5% +2.8%vs his norm —
424 / 120 PA
BABIP.263
norm.263*
lg avg .295 −.032vs his norm −.002 BABIP is below his ~.265 normexpect it to rise.
308 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %7.2%
7.2%*
lg avg 11.0% −3.9%vs his norm —
424 / 50 PA
Chase %30.1%
30.1%*
lg avg 28.5% +1.6%vs his norm —
424 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 8.1%→8.4%signal1 HR — Barrel% 8.1% (signal) lifted to career ~8.8% → projected 8.4%.
BABIP 0.263→0.276 regressednoise.230 AVG — BABIP 0.263 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.285 (xBA 0.249) → 0.276.
on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~44 projected PA.
slugging + lineup5 RBI — his RBI rate over ~44 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (2 in 57 G) over ~44 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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