
229 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekSELL-HIGH
Ty France
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
flipped from SELL-HIGH on July 18, 2026
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.322); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 4AVG .219R 16RBI 25SB 1
Ty France is a hold — league-average skill, no luck story.
ROS projects HR 6 YTD → 4 ROS, AVG .286 YTD → .219 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %11.0%—+3.8% ▲vs his ~7.2% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.322)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo91.5 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+2.5 mphvs his norm —
155 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %47.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+7.1%vs his norm —
155 / 50 BBE
Barrel %11.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.0%vs his norm +3.8% ▲
155 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.322
lg avg .315 ▲+.007vs his norm —
229 / 160 PA
wOBA.349
lg avg .315 ▲+.034vs his norm —
229 / 200 PA
Strikeout %23.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.6%vs his norm —
229 / 60 PA
Walk %5.2%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−3.3%vs his norm —
229 / 120 PA
BABIP.306
lg avg .295 ▲+.011vs his norm +.016 ▲BABIP is above his ~.290 norm — expect it to fall.
155 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.3%vs his norm —
229 / 50 PA
Chase %33.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.6%vs his norm —
229 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 11.0%→8.9%signal4 HR — Barrel% 11.0% (signal) tempered to career ~7.2% → projected 8.9%.
BABIP 0.306→0.266 regressednoise.219 AVG — BABIP 0.306 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.257 (xBA 0.239) → 0.266.
on-base + lineup16 R — his run rate over ~152 projected PA.
slugging + lineup25 RBI — his RBI rate over ~152 projected PA.
run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (1 in 38 G) over ~152 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.