111 PA · week 10
this weekSELL-HIGH
last weekSELL-HIGH
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Ty France
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
France is a sell-high — BABIP is inflating his line.
Limited data: this call rests on the first stable sample of the season. His wOBA is .368, above league average, but the gap between that and his expected wOBA of .336 is driven by his BABIP of .329. BABIP needs around 800 balls in play to be reliable; he has 79. That gap is luck, not skill. The underlying contact quality is good — exit velocity 91.6 mph, hard-hit rate 50.6%, barrel rate 13.9%, all above league and past stabilization — but the surface is outpacing the talent. His strikeout rate is roughly average. Regression is coming when the BABIP normalizes. Sell high.
Sell High
med0.63
Drivers
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.329 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.336 is 0.032 below the surface — regression coming
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo91.6 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+2.6 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL79 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %50.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+10.6%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL79 / 50 BBE
Barrel %13.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+5.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL79 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.336
lg avg .315 ▲+.021too early to trust
NOISE111 / 160 PA
wOBA.368
lg avg .315 ▲+.053too early to trust
NOISE111 / 200 PA
Strikeout %23.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL111 / 60 PA
Walk %3.6%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−4.9%too early to trust
NOISE111 / 120 PA
BABIP.329
lg avg .295 ▲+.034too early to trust
NOISE79 / 800 BIP