MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Engraved portrait of Ty France
229 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekSELL-HIGH

Ty France

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
flipped from SELL-HIGH on July 18, 2026
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.322); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 4AVG .219R 16RBI 25SB 1

Ty France is a hold — league-average skill, no luck story.

ROS projects HR 6 YTD → 4 ROS, AVG .286 YTD → .219 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %11.0%+3.8%vs his ~7.2% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.322)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo91.5 mph
91.5 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph +2.5 mphvs his norm —
155 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %47.1%
47.1%*
lg avg 40.0% +7.1%vs his norm —
155 / 50 BBE
Barrel %11.0%
norm11.0%*
lg avg 8.0% +3.0%vs his norm +3.8%
155 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.322
believable since Jun 21.322*
lg avg .315 +.007vs his norm —
229 / 160 PA
wOBA.349
.349*
lg avg .315 +.034vs his norm —
229 / 200 PA
Strikeout %23.6%
23.6%*
lg avg 22.0% +1.6%vs his norm —
229 / 60 PA
Walk %5.2%
5.2%*
lg avg 8.5% −3.3%vs his norm —
229 / 120 PA
BABIP.306
norm.306*
lg avg .295 +.011vs his norm +.016 BABIP is above his ~.290 normexpect it to fall.
155 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.3%
15.3%*
lg avg 11.0% +4.3%vs his norm —
229 / 50 PA
Chase %33.1%
33.1%*
lg avg 28.5% +4.6%vs his norm —
229 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 11.0%→8.9%signal4 HR — Barrel% 11.0% (signal) tempered to career ~7.2% → projected 8.9%.
BABIP 0.306→0.266 regressednoise.219 AVG — BABIP 0.306 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.257 (xBA 0.239) → 0.266.
on-base + lineup16 R — his run rate over ~152 projected PA.
slugging + lineup25 RBI — his RBI rate over ~152 projected PA.
run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (1 in 38 G) over ~152 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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