Rest of Season Projection
GeorgeCategoryTy
12HR ←9
31R ←30
27RBI →45
6SB ←2
.223AVG →.244
Current Season
GeorgeCategoryTy
5HR →6
16R ←12
14RBI →18
3SB ←1
.212AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
George Springer
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.301)
Ty France
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.324 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.335 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
George Springer: 12 HR / 31 R. Ty France: 9 HR / 30 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).