ATH
Grouped Buy → Sell · ranked by confidence within each group
Buy4
- 1
5.47 ERA vs 3.65 xERA — BABIP says it's just bad luck.
Buyconf 0.73 - 2
57% hard-hit and 18% barrels bury the 32.5% strikeout risk
Buyconf 0.72 - 3
28.3% K rate backs the 3.73 xERA; walks the only leak.
Buyconf 0.71 - 4
Barrel rate 13.3% backs the .352 xwOBA for real.
Buyconf 0.67
Buy-Low3
- 1
6.07 ERA over 3.98 xERA; .373 BABIP is the whole gap
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 2
6.10 ERA hides 4.09 xERA; .323 BABIP inflates it.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 3
BABIP .337 against a 3.92 xERA; buy the correction.
Buy Lowconf 0.87
Sell-High4
- 1
3.90 ERA hides a 4.42 xERA; walks near 11% offset Ks
Sell Highconf 0.86 - 2
.319 wOBA on .248 xwOBA; 1.2% barrels can't sustain it.
Sell Highconf 0.83 - 3Sell Highconf 0.81
- 4
.417 BABIP propping up a .311 xwOBA and 1.6% barrels.
Sell Highconf 0.75
Sell7
- 1
13.1% walk rate and a 5.09 xERA to match
Sellconf 0.85 - 2
17.8% strikeout rate won't bail out a 4.95 xERA
Sellconf 0.81 - 3
84 mph exit velo, 2.5% barrels — contact can't carry
Sellconf 0.62 - 4
Hard-hit rate 32% and 87 mph exit velo can't carry a catcher.
Sellconf 0.61 - 5Sellconf 0.60
- 6
85.9 mph exit velo undercuts a 17.9% strikeout rate.
Sellconf 0.60 - 7
86 mph exit velo with 29.5% hard-hit — contact isn't carrying
Sellconf 0.58
29 more players · league average or insufficient sample · expand to view
- Brent RookerON THE 60-DAY ILDHHoldsteady
- Brian ServenCHoldwait & see
- Brooks KriskeON THE 60-DAY ILPNo Call Yet
- Carlos CortesRFHoldleans sell
- Chris RoycroftPHoldwait & see
- Darell HernaizSSHoldwait & see
- Denzel ClarkeCFHoldwait & see
- Donovan Walton2BHoldsteady
- Drew RomPHoldwait & see
- Gage JumpPHoldleans sell
- Hayden JuengerPHoldwait & see
- Henry BolteCFHoldsteady
- Hunter BiggePHoldwait & see
- Joe RockPNo Call Yet
- Joey EstesPNo Call Yet
- Johnathan RodríguezRFNo Call Yet
- Justin SternerON THE 60-DAY ILPHoldwait & see
- Kade MorrisPHoldwait & see
- Lawrence ButlerRFHoldleans buy
- Luis MedinaPHoldleans buy
- Luis MoralesPHoldwait & see
- Luis SeverinoON THE 60-DAY ILPHoldleans sell
- Mark Leiter Jr.ON THE 60-DAY ILPHoldwait & see
- Michael Stefanic2BNo Call Yet
- Scott BlewettPHoldwait & see
- Seth JohnsonPHoldwait & see
- Tyler SoderstromON THE 60-DAY ILLFHoldleans buy
- Yunior TurPHoldwait & see
- Zack Gelof3BHoldleans buy