week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Scott Blewett
data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.68); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Blewett is a hold — league average, nothing unstable underneath.
ROS projects K 2 YTD → 0 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %21.3%—+1.9% ▲vs his ~19.4% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.68)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed34.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−5.4%vs his norm —
107 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed4.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.3%vs his norm —
107 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.296
lg avg .315 ▼−.019vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
150 / 200 TBF
xERA3.68
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.42vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
150 / 200 TBF
ERA2.80
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.30vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
35.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %21.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.7%vs his norm +1.9% ▲
150 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.7%vs his norm −3.2% ▼Walk % is below his ~10.5% norm — expect it to rise.
150 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.320
lg avg .295 ▲+.025vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
107 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.1%vs his norm —
150 / 60 TBF
Chase %36.5%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+8.0%vs his norm —
150 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo95.5 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+1.5 mphvs his norm —
545 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 21.3%→20.2%signal0 K — K% 21.3% (signal) tempered to career ~19.4% → projected 20.2% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 3.68noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.68 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 2 IP.
BB% 7.3% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 7% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.298 gives a 1.34 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.