MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Carlos Cortes
381 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Carlos Cortes

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · leans sell skill near league average (0.301); a hold that leans sell — skill sits a hair below league, nothing to chase.med 0.60
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Cortes is a hold — league average on both ends, nothing to force.

His expected wOBA is .301 against a league average of .315, and his actual wOBA is .315 — the two numbers meet at the middle, so there is no luck gap pulling his line in either direction. His contact quality is a touch under league: 88.4 mph average exit velocity against 89.0, a 35.8% hard-hit rate against 40.0%, and 6.0% barrels against 8.0%, all past the sample where those numbers become reliable. His plate discipline is the steadiest part of the profile — a 16.5% strikeout rate well below the 22.0% league mark, with an 8.1% walk rate and a chase rate right at league. The expected wOBA has been stepping down, which is enough to keep a buy off the table, but there is no inflated luck stat to sell against. There is no edge here either way. Hold. A 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG line is waiver-wire fringe; hold only as deep-league depth.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %6.0%—−3.2% ▼vs his ~9.2% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.301)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.4 mph
88.4 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.6 mphvs his norm —
283 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %35.8%
35.8%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.2%vs his norm —
283 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.0%
norm6.0%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.0%vs his norm −3.2% ▼
283 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.301
believable since Jun 3.301*
lg avg .315 ▼−.014vs his norm —
381 / 160 PA
wOBA.315
.315*
lg avg .315 .000vs his norm —
381 / 200 PA
Strikeout %16.5%
16.5%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.5%vs his norm —
381 / 60 PA
Walk %8.1%
8.1%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.4%vs his norm —
381 / 120 PA
BABIP.278
norm.278*
lg avg .295 ▼−.017vs his norm −.069 ▼BABIP is below his ~.347 norm — expect it to rise.
283 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.3%
10.3%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.7%vs his norm —
381 / 50 PA
Chase %27.9%
27.9%*
lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.6%vs his norm —
381 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.0%→7.3%signal0 HR — Barrel% 6.0% (signal) lifted to career ~9.2% → projected 7.3%.
BABIP 0.278→0.252 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.278 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.238 (xBA 0.242) → 0.252.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 47 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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