MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Donovan Walton
268 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL

Donovan Walton

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
new call as of October 26, 2026
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.322); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Walton is a hold — his line outruns the bat, but not by much.

ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .310 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.322)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.8 mph
believable since Jun 1886.8 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.2 mphvs his norm —
187 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %31.6%
31.6%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−8.4%vs his norm —
187 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.8%
4.8%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.2%vs his norm —
187 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.322
.322*
lg avg .315 ▲+.007vs his norm —
268 / 160 PA
wOBA.356
.356*
lg avg .315 ▲+.041vs his norm —
268 / 200 PA
Strikeout %17.2%
17.2%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−4.8%vs his norm —
268 / 60 PA
Walk %10.4%
10.4%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.9%vs his norm —
268 / 120 PA
BABIP.291
.291*
lg avg .295 ▼−.004vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
187 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.7%
13.7%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.7%vs his norm —
268 / 50 PA
Chase %28.8%
28.8%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.3%vs his norm —
268 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.8%→5.4%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.8% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 5.4%.
BABIP 0.291→0.301 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.291 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.304 (xBA 0.245) → 0.301.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 9 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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