218 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Donovan Walton
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
new call as of September 10, 2026
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.340); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .257HR 0R 8RBI 1SB 0
Walton is a hold — league-average skill, no luck to give back.
ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .310 YTD → .257 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.340)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.5 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.5 mphvs his norm —
151 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %33.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−6.9%vs his norm —
151 / 50 BBE
Barrel %5.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.7%vs his norm —
151 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.340
lg avg .315 ▲+.025vs his norm —
218 / 160 PA
wOBA.368
lg avg .315 ▲+.053vs his norm —
218 / 200 PA
Strikeout %16.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.9%vs his norm —
218 / 60 PA
Walk %11.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+3.0%vs his norm —
218 / 120 PA
BABIP.308
lg avg .295 ▲+.013vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
151 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.4%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.4%vs his norm —
218 / 50 PA
Chase %29.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.7%vs his norm —
218 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 5.3%→5.8%signal0 HR — Barrel% 5.3% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 5.8%.
BABIP 0.308→0.314 regressednoise.257 AVG — BABIP 0.308 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.315 (xBA 0.254) → 0.314.
on-base + lineup8 R — his run rate over ~33 projected PA.
slugging + lineup1 RBI — his RBI rate over ~33 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 9 G) over ~33 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.