104 PA · week 11
this weekHOLD
last week—
Max Muncy
data as of June 9, 2026·week 11
Hold strikeout rate 36% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.303); hold and monitor.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
Muncy is a hold — league average skill with a high-K floor.
Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.303)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 36% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo92.5 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+3.5 mphvs his norm —
57 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %56.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+16.1%vs his norm —
57 / 50 BBE
Barrel %12.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.3%vs his norm +2.2% ▲Barrel % is above his ~10.1% norm — expect it to fall.
57 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.303
lg avg .315 ▼−.012vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
104 / 160 PA
wOBA.313
lg avg .315 ▼−.002vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
104 / 200 PA
Strikeout %35.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+13.6%vs his norm —
104 / 60 PA
Walk %5.8%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.7%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
104 / 120 PA
BABIP.364
lg avg .295 ▲+.069vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
57 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 12.3%→10.6%noise7 HR — Barrel% 12.3% (noise) tempered to career ~10.1% → projected 10.6%.
BABIP 0.364→0.324 regressednoise.218 AVG — BABIP 0.364 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.321 (xBA 0.224) → 0.324.
on-base + lineup41 R — his run rate over ~272 projected PA.
slugging + lineup23 RBI — his RBI rate over ~272 projected PA.
run rate / role5 SB — his steal rate (2 in 27 G) over ~272 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.