Rest of Season Projection
MaxCategoryNolan
8HR ←6
39R →41
22RBI →41
5SB ←1
.216AVG →.226
Current Season
MaxCategoryNolan
2HR →8
16R →28
9RBI →28
2SB ←1
.242AVG →.270
What Each Player's System Trusts
Max Muncy
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.298)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.354 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Nolan Arenado
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.311)
Max Muncy: 8 HR / 39 R. Nolan Arenado: 6 HR / 41 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).